July 12, 2020 03:06 AM RSS

Expert: Summer or Fall Unlikely to Slow Spread of Infections

  • Wall Street Rebel | James DiGeorgia
  • 06/23/2020 2:48 PM
Expert: Summer or Fall Unlikely to Slow Spread of Infections

On Sunday’s NBC’s “Meet The Press,” Dr. Michael Osterholm, Director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, said he does not believe the coronavirus pandemic in the United States will ease over the summer or in the fall.

June 23, 2020 - https://www.worldometers.info

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President Trump said over and over to anyone who will listen that the coronavirus will simply “fade away” and claims about a second wave are "overblown.". 

Dr. Michael Osterholm, the director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, agrees a second or even a third wave of coronavirus is unlikely because the first wave has yet to slow down.

"I'm actually of the mind right now — I think this is more like a forest fire. I don't think that this is going to slow down."

“Wherever there's wood to burn, this fire is going to burn, and right now, we have a lot of susceptible people."

“I do not think the influenza model of multiple waves applies to the coronavirus outbreak in the U.S.”

As of President Trump’s assurance that the pandemic would slow as we entered the warmer months of spring and summer, Osterholm obliterated that nonsense…

"Right now, I don't see this slowing down through the summer or into the fall. I don't think we're going to see one, two and three waves. I think we're just going to see one very, very difficult forest fire of cases."

As of today, there have been 2.4 million cases of coronavirus diagnosed and over 123,000 people have died from the resulting disease COVID-19.

More importantly, the number of infections being reported has jumped over 30,000 a day after leveling off at to 20,000 a day for a few weeks. With a current death rate of 5% of all people who contract the coronavirus, this is an ominous sign that the country. According to Dr. Osterholm, as many as 60% to 70% of Americans will contract the coronavirus. If the lethal outcome holds at 5%, the United States, with a population of 330 million people, we’re looking at as many as 9 million people losing their lives. 

Interview conducted on May 29, 2020 with Michael Osterholm, PhD, MPH

By Dan Buettner, Blue Zones Founder

  • 3 months ago, COVID-19 was not even in the top 75 causes of death in this country. Much of the last month, it was the #1 cause of death in this country. This is more remarkable than the 1918 Flu pandemic.
  • There is no scientific indication Covid-19 will disappear of its own accord.
  • If you’re under age 55, obesity is the #1 risk factor. So, eating the right diet, getting physical activity, and managing stress are some of the most important things you can do to protect yourself from the disease.
  • One of the best things we can do for our aging parents is to get them out into the fresh air, while maintaining physical (not social) distancing.
  • Wearing a cloth mask does not protect you much if you’re in close contact with someone who is COVID-19 contagious. It may give you 20 minutes, instead of 10, to avoid contracting the disease.
  • We can expect COVID-19 to infect 60% – 70% of Americans. That’s around 200 million Americans.
  • We can expect between 800,000 and 1.6 million Americans to die in the next 18 months if we don’t have a successful vaccine.
  • There is no guarantee of an effective vaccination and even if we find one, it may only give short term protection.
  • Speeding a vaccination into production carries its own risks.
  • The darkest days are still ahead of us. We need moral leadership, the command leadership that doesn’t minimize what’s before us but allows everyone to see that we’re going to get through.


    Full Osterholm: Covid Is A 'Forest Fire'

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