Covid-19 Wave 4: Nightmare Tsunami?
Sharply rising breakthrough infections in Massachusetts may be a red flag that vaccine effectiveness is waning. Delta surge peak could cause 300,000 a day. Wall Street isn't factoring in the increasing likelihood of a major outbreak among the most vulnerable, our children.
There have been nearly 13,000 breakthrough infections (COVID-19 cases among the fully vaccinated) in Massachusetts between July 10 and August 14. Most of the vaccinated individuals' cases have mild cases, but some have required hospitalization. As of last Wednesday, almost 30% of hospitalized for COVID-19 in Massachusetts were fully vaccinated.
Federal health officials released a statement Wednesday that confirms the "available data make very clear" that vaccine protection "begins to decrease over time following the initial doses." Hospitalizations are surging to critical levels in several states that so far have been over 90% unvaccinated; the possibility of the numbers of vaccinated people needing hospitalization heading to 30% implies that the 4th wave may look more like a ripple than a wave.
The CDC released a revised report last Wednesday. A study of adults in New York City released found that vaccine effectiveness declined from 91.7 to 79.8 percent between May 3 and July 25. Yet, vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization was stable throughout the 12 weeks, at 95.3 percent. That low hospitalization rate may give way to the terrifying high numbers taking place in Massachusetts. That could mean the country's hospital system is about to be hit with a Tsunami of patients needing ICU beds.
The latest research indicates vaccinated people have as much of the Delta virus in their nasal cavities as an unvaccinated infected person. These findings should mandate during times of sanity that all people unilaterally should wear a mask inside.
This same insanity produced the recent market rally on Fed hawks turning dovish because of their deep concerns about the impact Delta and 80 million still being unvaccinated. The former Federal Reserve doves have crunched the numbers, and they realize a Covid-19 Tsunami may be approaching that kicks the economy in the gut worse than last year.
The push for Booster shots about eight months after the second dose could head the Tsunami off, which is why the sudden chorus calls for the new protocol. Federal health officials wrote on Wednesday…
"A booster shot will be needed to maximize vaccine-induced protection and prolong its durability."
Meanwhile, Republican Florida Governor Ron DeSantis did everything he could to make it look like he's dancing on the ICU beads of school children. Over 50 children on average are being hospitalized due to COVID every day in Florida amid a surge in the highly contagious Delta variant, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). On Tuesday, the CDC reported that 55 children as young as infants and as old as 17 years old were hospitalized each day between August 7 and August 13.
These numbers will update this week, and most health care experts following the daily reports expect the numbers to rise sharply. Governor Ron DeSantis maybe dancing on his own political grave if children start dying in any significant number. DeSantis staged an event at a pizzeria today. He isn't bothered by the unfolding crises.
COVID-19 surge: Why we need more data on breakthrough infections